Trump Drops Proposed 20% Hormuz Cargo Fee, Easing Global Oil Tensions

Prediction market giant Polymarket is seeing massive action as Robert F. Kennedy Jr. climbs to a 49% probability of becoming the GOP nominee for 2028. Despite recent geopolitical headlines involving Donald Trump, traders have refused to meaningfully reprice the long-term succession expectations, showing a firm conviction in current betting trends.

The lack of volatility in the odds follows reports that Trump backtracked on a controversial 20% toll demand regarding the Strait of Hormuz. This disconnect between geopolitical news and Polymarket pricing suggests that the crypto-prediction market is prioritizing long-term political shifts over immediate foreign policy fluctuations.

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a blunt warning to the House Financial Services Committee, stating that the central bank has zero interest in bailing out the crypto sector. During his first congressional testimony, Warsh drew a definitive line in the sand, making it clear that the Fed will not step in to rescue crypto assets or stablecoins if the industry faces a massive bank run.

This decisive stance shifts the burden of risk management directly onto the crypto ecosystem and stablecoin issuers. By explicitly stating that the Fed does not want to be in the 'bailout business,' Warsh is signaling a future where digital assets must maintain extreme liquidity and self-sufficiency to survive market volatility without the expectation of a government-backed safety net.

In a significant geopolitical pivot, Donald Trump has retracted his demand for a 20% toll on vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz. This move is seen as a critical step to de-escalate US-Iran tensions and prevent a major disruption in global maritime trade routes.

The retraction is expected to stabilize oil markets and reduce the immediate threat of energy supply shocks. By fostering potential diplomatic solutions for the Strait of Hormuz passage, this shift could lower market volatility and provide much-needed clarity for global investors.

Ripple’s XRP is currently battling a persistent bearish market structure despite multiple recovery attempts in recent weeks. This latest XRP price analysis reveals that sellers are maintaining dominance at higher resistance levels, keeping the token in a state of high-stakes uncertainty.

The market is now testing a vital demand zone that serves as a make-or-break point for the asset. The outcome of this test will decide whether XRP can finally stabilize or if it is destined to extend its current downward trend in the broader crypto market.

Bitcoin surged past the $64,000 mark following weaker-than-expected US inflation data, which significantly eased pressure on interest rates. This sudden recovery of Bitcoin highlights a renewed appetite for risk as investors react to the shifting macroeconomic landscape.

As inflation cools, the market is pricing in a potential pivot or pause from the Federal Reserve, providing a massive tailwind for digital assets. This shift in sentiment is crucial for Bitcoin, as it positions the cryptocurrency to capitalize on a more accommodative monetary environment.