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Polymarket Shock: RFK Jr. Hits 49% Odds for 2028 GOP Nominee Despite Trump Policy Shifts

July 14, 202601:25 PM
Polymarket Shock: RFK Jr. Hits 49% Odds for 2028 GOP Nominee Despite Trump Policy Shifts

Prediction market giant Polymarket is seeing massive action as Robert F. Kennedy Jr. climbs to a 49% probability of becoming the GOP nominee for 2028. Despite recent geopolitical headlines involving Donald Trump, traders have refused to meaningfully reprice the long-term succession expectations, showing a firm conviction in current betting trends.

The lack of volatility in the odds follows reports that Trump backtracked on a controversial 20% toll demand regarding the Strait of Hormuz. This disconnect between geopolitical news and Polymarket pricing suggests that the crypto-prediction market is prioritizing long-term political shifts over immediate foreign policy fluctuations.

Polymarket odds remain steady with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. holding a 49% chance to be the GOP nominee in 2028. This comes after a report surfaced stating that Donald Trump had backtracked on a proposed 20% toll demand tied to the Strait of Hormuz. Despite this development, traders did not significantly reprice the expectations for the 2028 Republican nominee, leaving RFK Jr.'s dominance intact.

This is a summarized and adapted version by Artificial Intelligence. To read the complete original story, visit the official source.

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