Gulf Tensions Escalate: US Launches Strikes Against Iran for Seventh Consecutive Night

Geopolitical instability is surging as US strikes against Iran enter their seventh consecutive night, significantly heightening tensions in the Gulf region. This military escalation serves as a massive volatility trigger for global markets, potentially disrupting traditional finance and crypto liquidity.
Market sentiment regarding airspace closures remains divided, with projections suggesting a 28.5% chance of full closure by July 31 and rising to 44.5% by August 31. While the likelihood of regime change by 2026 is pegged at a low 10%, the immediate threat of expanded conflict remains a primary concern for macro analysts.
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