CoinDesk
Bitcoin's 500-day rule faces its biggest test yet: history suggests guaranteed profits
August 5, 2026•06:06 AM
Bitcoin's "500-day rule" is facing its biggest test yet as the next halving approaches. This historical strategy, which suggests buying BTC approximately 500 days before a halving and selling about 500 days after, would have generated profits in previous cycles, making it a popular guide for investors. Despite the promising history, investors should proceed with caution, as the crypto market is volatile and past performance is not a guarantee of future results. The 500-day rule, while intriguing, should be just one tool among many in Bitcoin investment analysis, especially with increasing regulation and institutional entry into the crypto space.
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