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99% Odds: Polymarket Predicts Hormuz Strait Tensions Will Not Normalize by July
July 19, 2026•01:09 AM
Polymarket odds have reached a staggering 99% certainty that maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz will not normalize by July 31. Following eight consecutive days of U.S. airstrikes targeting IRGC-linked coastal surveillance, air defenses, and maritime sites, the prediction market is signaling a high-conviction belief in sustained geopolitical instability.
This massive shift in sentiment underscores the growing fear of a prolonged disruption to global energy corridors. As military actions intensify against critical maritime infrastructure, the market is pricing in a reality where the Strait of Hormuz remains a volatile flashpoint, potentially impacting global trade and oil supply chains.
This is a summarized and adapted version by Artificial Intelligence. To read the complete original story, visit the official source.
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