Polymarket Betting Frenzy: 99% Chance Bitcoin Stays Above $60K by July 11

Prediction market giant Polymarket is signaling massive bullish conviction, with odds hitting 99% that Bitcoin will trade above $60,000 by July 11. Despite this overwhelming certainty for the $60K floor, the market remains deadlocked on whether BTC can breach the $64,000 mark, with odds sitting at a perfect 50-50.
This surge in sentiment comes as Bitcoin trades slightly above $63,000, marking a 1.6% increase over the last 24 hours. The broader institutional landscape shows a split trend: Bitcoin ETFs have reverted to outflows, whereas Ether funds continue to attract steady inflows, creating a nuanced environment for crypto investors.
According to live market data from Polymarket, the conviction for Bitcoin staying above the $60,000 threshold is nearly absolute, with a 99% probability assigned for July 11. However, the battle for the $64,000 level remains a toss-up, with traders split exactly 50-50 on the outcome.
In a recent market roundup, Bitcoin was seen trading just above $63,000, up approximately 1.6% in 24 hours. This price action unfolds amidst shifting institutional flows, as Bitcoin ETFs return to outflows while Ether funds continue to see consistent inflows.
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