Legal Win: US Judge Blocks Minnesota's Ban on Prediction Markets

A major legal victory for the prediction market industry has arrived as a US federal judge temporarily blocked Minnesota from enforcing its ban against Kalshi and Polymarket US. The preliminary injunction allows these CFTC-regulated platforms to maintain operations in the state while the court evaluates whether the state law is preempted by federal authority.
This ruling highlights a critical tension between state-level restrictions and federal oversight. By suggesting that the Commodity Exchange Act may take precedence, the court is signaling that event contracts qualifying as swaps fall under the exclusive jurisdiction of the CFTC, potentially setting a massive precedent for the future of decentralized and regulated prediction markets.
The judge noted that several event contracts offered by the platforms appeared to qualify as swaps, granting the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over transactions involving those contracts on designated contract markets.
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