CoinDesk

How You Hold Bitcoin Matters More Than How Much You Hold: Backtest Across Bull, Bear and Sideways Markets

August 5, 2026•12:03 PM

In a groundbreaking follow-up to his essay on sizing crypto risk, Gregory Mall of Lionsoul Global has backtested Bitcoin in a traditional 60/40 portfolio across bull, bear, and sideways market regimes, revealing that how you hold Bitcoin can be just as important as how much you hold. The research compares three distinct approaches: a straight Bitcoin position, a large-cap basket, and a trend-managed sleeve, demonstrating how each strategy diverges in different market conditions.

The backtest results provide crucial insights for investors seeking to integrate Bitcoin into traditional allocations, particularly given the inherent volatility of crypto markets. The analysis highlights that trend-managed strategies can offer significant protection during downturns, while large-cap baskets provide beneficial diversification in sideways markets. This fundamental finding could reshape how investors approach Bitcoin allocation in their portfolios.

This is a summarized and adapted version by Artificial Intelligence. To read the complete original story, visit the official source.

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