Bitcoin at $38K? What the 4-Year Cycle Reveals About the Current Crash

A major institutional report suggests that Bitcoin's 54% drawdown is far from ending the current market cycle. By analyzing the historical 4-year cycle, experts are projecting a strategic bottom near the $38,000 mark, potentially arriving this October.
This volatility is viewed not as a collapse, but as a structural phase of the crypto market cycle. Understanding these historical patterns is vital for investors looking to navigate the current price action and identify long-term accumulation zones.
Recent institutional reports indicate that the 54% drop in Bitcoin's price is insufficient to signal the end of the current cycle. Based on the established 4-year cycle pattern, the market is showing signs of approaching a significant bottom.
Historical data suggests that Bitcoin could find its floor near the $38,000 level, likely in October. For market participants, recognizing these cyclical patterns is key to distinguishing between a structural bear market and a necessary accumulation phase ahead of the next major bull run.
This is a summarized and adapted version by Artificial Intelligence. To read the complete original story, visit the official source.
Read Full Article at BlockTrendsSupport Jornal Bitcoin
Independent journalism, curated by AI, no clickbait. Keep the flame alive with any amount of BTC.
jonata@walletofsatoshi.comDaily Crypto Brief 📬
Subscribe to receive the curation of the most important Bitcoin and crypto news, summarized by AI. No spam.
Join more than 10,000 smart readers.
Related News

XRP Lags Behind as Bitcoin Takes a Breather: What the Charts Say
As the Bitcoin chart enters a consolidation phase, the technical picture for XRP is becoming increasingly clear. The inability of XRP to keep pace with Bitcoin's movements suggests a potential loss of relative strength, leaving traders to wonder if this is a temporary lull or a deeper trend reversal.

Bitcoin Dips as US Stock Sell-off Intensifies and Micron Losses Surpass 30%
This volatility is compounded by heavy selling in the tech sector, specifically with Micron losses exceeding 30%, which has dampened global risk appetite. As tech stocks face a correction, the correlation between traditional equity markets and the cryptocurrency market remains a critical factor for short-term Bitcoin price action.

Bitcoin VC Veterans Launch $40M Holding Company to Acquire Small Businesses
This initiative represents a significant shift in the Bitcoin ecosystem, moving beyond speculative trading toward real-world economic integration. By applying the Bitcoin standard to established small businesses, the group is pioneering a model of corporate resilience that leverages digital scarcity to hedge against fiat currency debasement.

Ethics 'Elephant in the Room': Blockchain Association CEO Warns Crypto Bill Is at Risk
As lawmakers race to reach an agreement before the August state work periods, high-stakes meetings are taking place between Republican senators and the White House. The industry is watching closely to see if a compromise can be reached that satisfies both parties, preventing ethics requirements from becoming a 'make-or-break' issue for the entire bill.

Institutional Giant Moves: Morgan Stanley’s E*TRADE Debuts Spot Bitcoin and Solana Trading
This integration allows investors to manage their crypto holdings alongside traditional stocks within a single, unified interface. Given that E*TRADE manages approximately $1.56 trillion in client assets, this move represents a massive liquidity injection into the crypto market, with full asset transfer capabilities expected to roll out later this year.

The Sleeping Giant Awakes: Bitcoin Whale Moves $350M+ After 8-Year Dormancy
This whale movement highlights a significant strategic shift for long-term holders. The transfer of assets after eight years of inactivity sparks intense speculation regarding whether the holder is preparing for a massive sell-off or simply migrating funds to a new secure custody solution amidst current market trends.
